Wednesday catch-all thread (4/23/25)
Please use this thread all week to discuss any Mets-specific topic you wish.
David Peterson takes the mound later this afternoon as the Mets try to sweep the Phillies. Last year, Peterson had a 2.90 ERA and a 3.67 FIP. When someone’s FIP exceeds their ERA by more than a handful of points, we expect their following season’s ERA to rise. Not necessarily to the same number as their FIP - just that’s the direction we expect the ERA to move.
While it’s just four games so far, we see that Peterson’s ERA has risen from a year ago. He sports a 3.27 ERA, which seems like a mark we would all sign up for from Peterson over 30 starts. Yet here’s the thing - Peterson has the worst ERA of the club’s five starters. Here are the marks from the other four:
3.16 - Clay Holmes
3.12 - Griffin Canning
1.09 - Tylor Megill
0.79 - Kodai Senga
In 24 games where so much has gone right, the performance of the SP stands out. In a good way. It’s hard to say which one is the most surprising from this group, one that would be even murkier if we included other numbers besides ERA.
The starters have been so good that it’s an open question what will happen once the three injured starters are ready to return. After his last start, Megill spoke openly and honestly about his status, saying, “I want to be around for these guys and help them win.” Maybe that doesn’t stand out without the context of Megill having an option remaining, while Canning and Holmes do not.
FanGraphs also lists Peterson with an option remaining. It’s wild to think about a former first-round pick, one who in his last 25 starts has a 2.96 ERA, being a potential option candidate. Yet here we are.
Hopefully Peterson can have a strong outing today and make the thought of a potential option even crazier.
Mets re-signed Brooks Raley to a one-year deal with a club option.
"But after just eight appearances in 2024, the lefty went down with a UCL strain and elected to get Tommy John surgery.
Rehabbing since then, Raley threw for 13 teams last week, per Sherman. His doctors believe he can begin throwing in rehab games in June."
https://sny.tv/articles/mets-brooks-raley-agree-one-year-deal
On the between week for my minor league updates it looks like Jett Williams took issue with me pushing him back to #2 in my rankings. He's had a very strong couple of games and probably bounces back to Top Prospect status.
Getting some better pitching from our big name pitching prospects as Sproat, Tidwell and Tong bounce back while McLean stays more or less strong throughout.
Jack Wenninger pitches into the Top 50. Having seen him pitch live I don't love his stuff but Wenninger has been really good for AA this year.
Santucci and Allan stumble in their most recent starts but nothing terrible.
Nate Dohm and Joel Diaz establish they belong firmly on the radar.
Ryan Lambert looks like a very good reliever.
Drew Gilbert is settling into AAA but looks mighty lonely in that lineup.
Things go from bad to worse for Kevin Parada who has added striking out all the time to his repertoire.
Ryan Clifford is doing what he needs to, showing power and the ability to take a walk (while striking out too much).
Chris Suero cools off... but he walks more.
Jesus Baez begins his Advanced A season cold but may be heating up.
Jacob Reimer is probably the best hitting prospect you were sleeping on.
Carson Benge slowed down after a strong start.
Eli Serrano is less hot but more to like than not to like.
People are starting to notice how good A.J. Ewing is playing.
I don't love a lot about Colin Houck but I sure like his power.
Marco Vargas is gunning for an early season promotion.